Will Trump award Elon Musk the presidential medal of freedom before the end of his 2nd term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.9%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 5, 25, 2:11 AM UTCFeb 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump awards Presidential Medal of Freedom to January 6 insurrectionist
Manifold MarketsWho will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?
KalshiWill Tony Kulesa win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2069?
Manifold MarketsWill Stephen Wolfram win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?
Manifold MarketsWill Matt Kaeberlein win a presidential medal of freedom by EOY2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.