Will Stephen Wolfram win the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-1.0pt78.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.5pt21.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$197.2M

24h Vol

$3M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico64.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$41.5M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.6pt90.5%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.5%

Total Vol

$69.8M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+7.5pt47%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-7.5pt28%
• Lula da Silva <4%18%

+5 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-3.0pt64.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep