Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.1%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleOct 22, 26, 8:04 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ro Khanna win Ca17? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Ro Khanna win the California 17th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExCA-17 House election: Ro Khanna vote percent
KalshiWill Ro Khanna be Vice President of the United States before he turns 78?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Ro Khanna announce run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, before December 31 11:59:59 PM ET, U.S. Representative Ro Khanna publicly announces his candidacy or files official paperwork to run for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle (or an earlier special election, if applicable).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Qualifying actions include:
- An official statement or formal public announcement directly from Ro Khanna or his campaign team declaring his candidacy for President.
- The formation and filing of a presidential exploratory committee or official campaign committee with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) via fec.gov.