PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 160-179
Resolved: Sep 11, 2026, 6:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
160-179
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
4%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 2:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
160-17957%
140-1595%
180-1994%
200+2%
160-179Won
<20Lost
20-39Lost
40-59Lost
60-79Lost
80-99Lost
100-119Lost
120-139Lost
140-159Lost
180-199Lost
200+Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".