KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2027 54.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Apr 1, 2027 54.5%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.3
Open interest
$10.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 4:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by which date?
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KalshiRules
If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalABCPACERCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York TimesWestlawLexisNexisJustiaCourtListenerCourt News ServiceLaw360Bloomberg NewsNBCBloomberg Law
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal or state court in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If any federal or state court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public in a case concerning paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.