Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
0.3 pts (24h)One-OffCorporate ActionsUS Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
100%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$559.1
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.8%
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 63 days ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 8:06 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Rules
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal).
- Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
