PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
100%
ConsensusProbability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal).
- Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
