PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 77.2%
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 24.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
11
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 26, 11:48 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Open markets
US Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.9pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $807.9K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $63.7M
- 24h Vol
- $328.3K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 more outcomes
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 77% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? resolve?
- Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.