Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
5.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87.1%+5.0pt
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$163.8K
Liquidity
$41.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
99
7d Change
-5.5 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 17, 25, 9:26 PMJan 3, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
