PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
No 92.1%
No 92.1%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$30
Liquidity
$40.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$220.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
105
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 17, 25, 9:26 PM UTCJan 4, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsIf Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsIf Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiWill Mitch McConnell resign in 2026?
PredictItRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.