PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
No 91%
No 91%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$5
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 11, 26, 2:09 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiWill Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?
Manifold MarketsMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
Manifold MarketsRules
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Mitch McConnell vacates the office of U.S. Senator by means of resignation by the End Date listed below.
In the absence of a formal and effective resignation from office, Mr. McConnell's death or incapacitation prior to the End Date shall not be sufficient to resolve this market to Yes.
In the absence of a formal and effective resignation from office, Mr. McConnell's death or incapacitation prior to the End Date shall not be sufficient to resolve this market to Yes.
- Any announced resignation or removal that is not effective as of the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve to Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)