Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
68
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 26, 5:34 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
Market resolves YES if Mitch McConnell dies before January 1st, 2027.
- Resolves NO if he doesn't.
- Will resolve based on credible news sources, of course.
- Must be confirmed.
- Context: McConnell is currently hospitalized due to "flu-like symptoms" (Source: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-mitch-mcconnell-hospitalized-after-experiencing-flu-symptoms/story?id=129834622).
- I will update this section when more information comes out.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026? resolve?
- Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market resolves YES if Mitch McConnell dies before January 1st, 2027.