Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 29.2%
Forecasters
139
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 28, 23, 2:56 AMJan 4, 27, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes29%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
14.0%5mo
+0.1%69%
-0.1%32%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$231.8K
24h Vol$46K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
4.0%3mo
+4.0%37%
63%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$474K
24h Vol$37.9K
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$316Jul 82d of dataJul 9
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.