Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$23.2K
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.2% / 6.5%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 21, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- **Important information**: In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms??
- Kalshi prices No at 93% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? resolve?
- Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.