Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 90.9%
Forecasters
61
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 9:47 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market resolves to YES if Senator Mitch McConnell is alive at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on January 3, 2027 (the constitutional end of his Senate term).
- If he passes away at any point before this exact date and time, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution based on consensus reporting from major news organizations (e.g., AP News, Reuters, New York Times).