Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.6%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves to YES if Senator Mitch McConnell is alive at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on January 3, 2027 (the constitutional end of his Senate term).
- If he passes away at any point before this exact date and time, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution based on consensus reporting from major news organizations (e.g., AP News, Reuters, New York Times).
- (Identical market to: source market)
