Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 51%
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleNov 19, 25, 10:16 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsTexas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketTexas Senate Election Margin of Victory
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Texas Senate Election Winner · Republican 50%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? · No 51%
- Also available on Kalshi — Texas Senate winner? · Ken Paxton 50%
- Also available on Futuur — Texas's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 52%
- Also available on Polymarket — Texas Senate Election Winner · James Talarico (D) 51%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $215.7M
- 24h Vol
- $685.7K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.3pt1%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win in the Texas Senate Race??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 51% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Who will win in the Texas Senate Race? resolve?
- Who will win in the Texas Senate Race? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- Where else is Who will win in the Texas Senate Race? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets, Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Futuur, Polymarket.