Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIf the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico 61%
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 8, 25, 8:12 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWho will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?
PolymarketRules
If the nominees stated in an answer are not the final nominees, the answer N/As
- An answer resolves YES if the listed nominees are accurate and the Republican (Cornyn or Paxton) wins the election.
- It resolves NO if the listed nominees are accurate and the Democrat (Talarico or Crockett) wins the election.
- inb4 people end up trading on who they expect to be nominated
