Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)
2.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms4d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastJames Talarico 71%+2.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
93
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Feb 25, 26, 9:32 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsTexas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketTexas Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketRules
This market resolves to the candidate certified by the Texas Secretary of State as the winner of the November 3, 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election.
- If a recount, legal challenge, or delay occurs, resolution is based on the final certified result.
- Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Primary election handling: Candidates who lose their primary will be resolved to No, since they cannot appear in the November 3 general election in Texas.
