PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Reps win Gov, Dems 41.5%+4.0ptLeader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$119.4
Liquidity
$10.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 7, 26, 9:44 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiWill the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win Tarrant County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
- For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.