Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican party 58.4%+0.7ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
105
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Nov 27, 24, 4:33 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic party42%
Compare venues· Republican party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
11mo
64%
-1.0pt37%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTIT
Also available on ForecastEx
Will the Democratic party win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
4mo
75%
25%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
FORECASTEXRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$50Jul 818d of dataJul 27
Related Markets
Trump out as President by July 31?
$30.2KYes: 0%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
$29.5KYes: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
FL-22 Republican nominee?
$8.5KBelinda Kaiser: 50%
KALSHI
KALSHI
IA-04 House Election Winner
$7.6KRepublican Party: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will drop out of their primary?
$7.5KJames Fishback: 43%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
$3.8KKamala Harris: 74%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.