Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms7d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 65.1%
Forecasters
349
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 12:35 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves yes if Democrats win the Texas Senate Seat election in 2026.
- Current primary candidates include Crockett and Talarico on the Democratic side and Cornyn, Paxton and Bell on the Republican side.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Texas Senate Election Winner · James Talarico (D) 66%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Texas Senate Race · Democrat 66%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas? · James Talarico 65%
- Also available on Limitless — Texas Senate Election Winner · James Talarico (D) 67%
- Also available on Gemini — Texas US Senate Winner · James Talarico 66%