Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50%
Forecasters
310
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 12:35 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will my Democrats win Texas Senate election? Market have 350 traders before 7pm est election day 2026?
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Resolves yes if Democrats win the Texas Senate Seat election in 2026.
- Current primary candidates include Crockett and Talarico on the Democratic side and Cornyn, Paxton and Bell on the Republican side.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas? · Ken Paxton 52%
- Also available on Smarkets — Texas Senate Election Winner · Republican 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — Texas Senate winner? · Ken Paxton 52%
- Also available on Futuur — Texas's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 52%
- Also available on Polymarket — Texas Senate Election Winner · James Talarico (D) 50%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? resolve?
- Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Democrats win the Texas Senate Seat election in 2026.
- Where else is Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Futuur, Polymarket.