KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
12 21.6%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$21.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 1, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the State of Texas
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- Kalshi prices 12 at 22% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? resolve?
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027.
- How is How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.