How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
12 · —
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Stored price
12 28%Leader of 8 outcomes
12 28%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Open interest
$28.5K
High open interestBid / Ask
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12Spread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 1, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 12
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House Seats will the Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms? [Exact Number]
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House Seats will the Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiHow many house seats will Democrats win in Iowa?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic party has won exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Texas Secretary of State
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Rules for each outcome
- 12
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 12 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 13
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 13 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 14 and above
- If the Democratic party has won at least 14 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 11
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 11 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 10 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 8 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 9
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 9 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 8
- If the Democratic party has won below 8 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
