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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

Health & MedicineOne-OffUS Politics2y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
At least 5000
At least 5000 31%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.4

Liquidity

$547.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

31.0% / 34.0%

Spread

9.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Apr 4, 25, 7:00 PMJan 1, 29, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

At least 500031%

Rules

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2500, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3500, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2500, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3500, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.