What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
1.0 pts (24h)Health & MedicineOne-OffUS Politics2y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAt least 2000 85%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.4
Liquidity
$22.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
38.0% / 43.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 21, 26, 6:00 PMJan 1, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 450043%
Volume trend
$22Jul 323d of dataJul 28
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If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 4500, then the market resolves to Yes.