Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 79.4%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 15, 26, 3:54 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Measles cases in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsTotal cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html
- Based on final 2025 and 2026 data.
- See also: @/EvanDaniel/will-the-cdc-report-more-measles-ca
Open markets
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KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025? resolve?
- Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html