PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92.1%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$946.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
4
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 1, 25, 9:52 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New COVID variant of concern before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 92% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does New COVID variant of concern before 2027? resolve?
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is New COVID variant of concern before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.