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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Health & MedicineOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 18%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 18.0%

Spread

5.9%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-2.0%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Dec 1, 25, 10:00 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes18%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,806.80+2.19%EthereumETH$1,657.71+1.65%SolanaSOL$65.21+1.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.51%XRPXRP$1.12+0.35%BNBBNB$596.32+1.80%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.