KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
COVID-19 14%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 27, 26, 1:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
The anti-vax market: Which vaccines become less available in the US, 2025-2026
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve more than 10 new mRNA based vaccines before 2028?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the COVID-19 vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CDC
- Merely reducing the categories of persons that it recommends the vaccine for, without reducing those categories to zero, is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the Dengue vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the the named outcome vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the Influenza vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the Polio vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
- 24h Vol
- $32.5K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No93.1%
- Yes6.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $9.4K
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-2.0pt97%
- Above 600061%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1K
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- On Nov 13, 202696%
- On Mar 13, 202789%
- On Nov 19, 202786%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.8K
- 24h Vol
- $1.5K
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- On Nov 16, 2026-3.0pt94%
- On Nov 22, 202769%
- On Dec 14, 2026-36.0pt32%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52.1K
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026??
- Kalshi prices COVID-19 at 14% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026? resolve?
- Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the COVID-19 vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.