Current community forecast
No 67%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 28, 25, 11:39 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold Markets2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsCovid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Manifold MarketsFull digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035
Manifold MarketsRules
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- ❗ Full title: 10.
