KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 89%
No 89%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 68.0%
Spread
57.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the New York City Department of Health officially announces a new public-health advisory warning residents of a health risk explicitly linked to unauthorized entry into New York City's sewer system after market issuance and before November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:NYC HealthThe Wall Street JournalFox Newsthe Associated PressAxiosCNNThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsReutersPoliticoFederal Register
- In order for this market to resolve Yes, the New York City Department of Health (NYC Health) must announce that an advisory is being issued warning New York City residents of a health risk explicitly linked to unauthorized entry into New York City's sewer system.
- Official agency communications and authorized spokesperson statements qualify; rumors and unconfirmed media reports do not.
- No independent proof of illness or medical causation is required beyond the qualifying official announcement.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance and before November 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST.
