KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (96%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 3:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
96%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 2:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes4%
No96%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the New York City Department of Health officially announces a new public-health advisory warning residents of a health risk explicitly linked to unauthorized entry into New York City's sewer system after market issuance and before November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:NYC HealthThe Wall Street JournalFox Newsthe Associated PressAxiosCNNThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsReutersPoliticoFederal Register
- In order for this market to resolve Yes, the New York City Department of Health (NYC Health) must announce that an advisory is being issued warning New York City residents of a health risk explicitly linked to unauthorized entry into New York City's sewer system.
- Official agency communications and authorized spokesperson statements qualify; rumors and unconfirmed media reports do not.
- No independent proof of illness or medical causation is required beyond the qualifying official announcement.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance and before November 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST.