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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

Health & MedicineOne-OffScience3y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 10%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$167.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.5% / 10.3%

Spread

37.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Dec 18, 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes10%

Rules

If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Rules

If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi