Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 9.7%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleAug 23, 25, 3:36 AMJan 1, 27, 3:31 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Volume trend
$1.0kJul 192d of dataJul 20
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