Total space launches in July
Monthly30d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove 19 11%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$624.1
Liquidity
$449.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 2:55 PMAug 7, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 1911%
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Rules
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 13 launches in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purpose of this market, qualifying commercial space launches will be based on the documented count from the FAA Commercial Space Data list during the time period.
- If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 14 launches in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 15 launches in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 16 launches in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 17 launches in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.