KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 10:32 PM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 1, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Trends
Above 13Awaiting result
Above 14Awaiting result
Above 15Awaiting result
Above 16Awaiting result
Above 20Awaiting result
Above 19Awaiting result
Above 18Awaiting result
Above 17Awaiting result
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Total space launches in September
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Manifold MarketsRules
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have the named outcome launches in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Aviation Administration
- For the purpose of this market, qualifying commercial space launches will be based on the documented count from the FAA Commercial Space Data list during the time period.