Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 17, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast
Yes 1%
Forecasters
141
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleMay 29, 25, 2:43 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
Volume trend
$5.8kJul 162d of dataJul 17
Related Markets
Total space launches in July
$12.7KAbove 14: 16%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
$12.2KYes: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
$1.8KYes: 31%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
$1KYes: 5.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
$843Yes: 2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Before when will SLS be cancelled?
$8432026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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