Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.6%
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140
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingJan 13, 23, 7:15 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://lifeview.com
- https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection
- Doesn't matter what the traits selected are; can be predicted health, personality traits, intelligence, criminality, whatever.
- Just matters that the embryo was selected based on not specific, simple criteria (i.e. how many chromosomes a fertilized egg has or whether or not it will have sickle cell disease) but more wide ranging quality of life or "child success" predictions.
