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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

2.0% (24h)Health & MedicineScienceYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Kenya
Kenya 55%+2.0%
Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$12.3

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

51.0% / 55.0%

Spread

7.8%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 16, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Kenya55%

Rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not.
  • Animal cases do not qualify.
  • The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count.
  • Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count.
  • Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset.

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Rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not.
  • Animal cases do not qualify.
  • The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count.
  • Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count.
  • Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset.