KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before 2028 22.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before 2028 22.5%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$141.5
Open interest
$78.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before September 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the United States open an embassy in Iran before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
- The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2028
- If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 2026
- If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.