Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffMiddle EastUS Politics4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 94.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.2
Liquidity
$10.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingNov 5, 25, 7:58 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
