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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

4.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 62%-0.0%
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$117.5K

Liquidity

$169.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

61.0% / 63.0%

Spread

3.3%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-4.5%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 4:51 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes62%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,101.67+1.26%EthereumETH$1,637.65+0.77%SolanaSOL$64.49+0.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.084+0.13%XRPXRP$1.11-0.99%BNBBNB$591.69+0.78%

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.