Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBenjamin Netanyahu 67.5%-2.1ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
165
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-3.1 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 8:09 AM UTCMar 13, 40, 8:02 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power?
- Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death.
- In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.
