Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (99.8%)
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, 3:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99.8%
Forecasters
263
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 8:10 PMJul 7, 26, 4:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0.2%
No99.8%
0.2%
99.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall77% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $13.4K | $0 | 19 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 20 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Closed
Resolved
No (100%)
100%
0%
27 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$44.1M
24h Vol$13.4K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.4k99.9%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Noneutralwave2321d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Noneutralwave2321d ago$13.6k99.9%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — No0x7131…29cc21d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — No0x7131…29cc21d ago$7.0k99.9%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Noadonpoli22d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Noadonpoli22d ago$30.0k99.9%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Nonotsosure622d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Nonotsosure622d ago$5.0k99.8%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Nodddtrips23d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — Nodddtrips23d ago$3.0k99.8%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — NoTheRealWarMonger23d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — NoTheRealWarMonger23d ago$15.6k99.7%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — NoNihilisticMeerkat23d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — NoNihilisticMeerkat23d ago$1.3k99.7%POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — NoGyoo23d ago
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — NoGyoo23d agoRelated Markets
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
$598.5KAugust 31: 72%POLYMARKET
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
$114.4KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
$49.2KAbove 50: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$20KYes: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.