KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 60 7%-20.0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$41.2K
Liquidity
$89K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
57.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 17, 26, 3:00 PMJul 28, 26, 1:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 607%
Volume trend
$41.2kJul 1710d of dataJul 26
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If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.