Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsMiddle EastGeopolitics1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 10, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No Meeting by December 31 · —
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Stored reference
No Meeting by December 31 57%Leader of 19 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
No Meeting by December 31 57%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$34K
Liquidity
$323.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$65.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
No Meeting by December 31Spread
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Comments
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7d Change
+7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingSep 22, 26, 11:06 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No Meeting by December 31
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Manifold MarketsRules
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
- This market will resolve according to the country in which the next direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation.
- A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
- A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf.
- Individuals authorized only for technical, implementation, monitoring, staff-level, preparatory, or working-group-level talks will not be considered designated to conduct diplomatic negotiations on behalf of the head of state or head of government.