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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. Iran Nuke before 2027?
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

0.3% (24h)One-OffMiddle East6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%
Market quality

100 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$61.6K

Liquidity

$112.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

9.3% / 9.4%

Spread

1.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

-0.6%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Nov 13, 25, 11:20 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,047.88+1.32%EthereumETH$1,634.87+0.80%SolanaSOL$64.43+0.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.0838+0.15%XRPXRP$1.11-0.88%BNBBNB$591.22+0.79%

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".