Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastKen Paxton is the GOP nominee 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 4, 26, 9:16 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Ken Paxton is the GOP nominee at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026? resolve?
- Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.