Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle East1y
GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Gadi Eizenkot 57.1%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Gadi Eizenkot 57.1%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.7K
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Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 6:51 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
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Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Who will win the 2026 Israeli election for Prime Minister?
- If the named outcome is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, the market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- If the election is held earlier, this contract will apply to the government formed following that election.
- To qualify for resolution, the named outcome must be formally sworn in as Prime Minister.
- Serving only as an interim, acting, or caretaker Prime Minister will not qualify.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · No one 45%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister? · Hung Knesset (political deadlock) 71%
- Also available on Limitless — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election? · Yair Lapid 50%
- Also available on Polymarket — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 50%
- — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
