Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes, and he will be re-elected. 52.2%+0.4ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
69
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Feb 22, 24, 9:47 AM UTCOct 21, 27, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
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FutuurRules
One and only one of the answers resolves to "yes" if he finishes December 9th, 2027, local time, as the official president on record or not.
- Closes on October 20th, 2027 or the day before the first round of the next presidential elections, whichever comes first.
- I will not bet on this question.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes, and he will be re-elected. at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina? resolve?
- Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina? is scheduled to resolve on October 21, 2027.
- How is Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: One and only one of the answers resolves to "yes" if he finishes December 9th, 2027, local time, as the official president on record or not.