Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 92%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 20, 23, 5:42 PM UTCDec 10, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.
- If he dies before his term begins, this resolves NO.
- His term ends 10 December 2027 according to wikipedia.
- This market closes the day before that, with my intent being to resolve the day after.
- I can't think of any other semi-ambiguous resolution possibilities, but if one comes up I'll outline what I think.
- I do not plan to bet on this market.
