Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94%
Forecasters
109
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 23, 8:39 AM UTCOct 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PolymarketRules
According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.
- This market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
