Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 93%
Forecasters
107
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 23, 8:39 AM UTCOct 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
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FutuurRules
According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.
- This market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina? resolve?
- Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2027.
- How is Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.