Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
0.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaGeopolitics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$547.4
Liquidity
$29.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.5%
Spread
30.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.8%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 6:09 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | 94% | — | $547.4 | $29.3K | 7 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets | 94% | — | — | — | 10 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket]
5mo
6%
94%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$688.6
24h Vol$78.4
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$547Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.