Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedUnverified resolution data: GERB-SDS
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Probability Timeline
GERB-SDS100%
DPS0%
Velichie0%
E0%
H0%
I0%
P0%
S0%
PP–DB0%
Vazrazhdane0%
BSP0%
ITN0%
D0%
F0%
J0%
N0%
O0%
Q0%
R0%
V0%
PB0%
Other0%
B0%
G0%
K0%
M0%
U0%
X0%
Y0%
APS0%
MECh0%
A0%
C0%
L0%
T0%
W0%
Z0%
GERB-SDSAwaiting result
DPSAwaiting result
VelichieAwaiting result
EAwaiting result
HAwaiting result
IAwaiting result
PAwaiting result
SAwaiting result
PP–DBAwaiting result
VazrazhdaneAwaiting result
BSPAwaiting result
ITNAwaiting result
DAwaiting result
FAwaiting result
JAwaiting result
NAwaiting result
OAwaiting result
QAwaiting result
RAwaiting result
VAwaiting result
Rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
