KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 7.2%
Spread
5.1 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
May 1, 24, 12:00 PMJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If a new Scottish referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:UK Government
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Scottish independence referendum called in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 98% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? resolve?
- Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Scottish independence referendum called in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a new Scottish referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.