Will the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?
PoliticsOne-Off24d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.4%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJan 12, 26, 1:04 AM UTCNov 17, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
- Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
